Bitcoin stays underneath intense promoting strain because it did not maintain a key assist degree close to $106,000. The world’s largest cryptocurrency continues to pattern downward as institutional buyers intensify, with stories that BlackRock bought about 9,000 BTC value about $1 billion earlier at this time. This vital drop additional strengthened the bearish momentum that started after Bitcoin rejected its $126,000 peak earlier this month.
🚨 Breaking information:
BlackRock has began promoting Bitcoin!
As we speak alone, they launched $9,000 BTC value $1 billion.
what occurred? ? pic.twitter.com/qYnsbW8JGs
— 0xNobler (@CryptoNobler) October 17, 2025
Market tendencies and expertise outlook
Bitcoin’s 4-hour chart exhibits a constant formation of highs and lows, indicating a transparent downtrend. The asset is at the moment buying and selling under all main exponential shifting averages (20, 50, 100, 200), confirming bearish sentiment in each the quick and medium time period.
Fast resistance lies between $110,000 and $113,000, coinciding with the 20 EMA and the 0.236 Fibonacci degree. If it can not regain this zone, the value may strategy $102,000.
BTC worth dynamics (Supply: TradingView)
Moreover, the 0.382 to 0.5 Fibonacci vary between $113,000 and $116,000 is clustered with resistance from the upper EMA. A detailed above $118,000 would require 0.618 fib to point a sustained reversal. In the meantime, $105,927 stays essential short-term assist. A crucial fall under this might speed up losses in the direction of $100,000.
Investor conduct and derivatives exercise
Regardless of the correction, market participation in Bitcoin futures stays robust. Open curiosity elevated steadily all through 2025, rising from lower than $20 billion in January to greater than $70 billion in mid-October.
As of October 17, whole open curiosity was $73.19 billion, reflecting elevated speculative exercise. This degree of leverage usually signifies confidence amongst merchants, nevertheless it additionally will increase liquidation danger if costs drop sharply.
Forex flows point out long-term holding
In keeping with the trade’s influx/outflow graph information, Bitcoin outflows have been dominant since February. Massive withdrawals in April, June, and early October recommend that many buyers favor self-custody over trade storage. On October seventeenth, an outflow of $209 million was recorded whereas the value hovered round $105,864. This sample signifies long-term accumulation regardless of short-term worth declines.
Technical outlook for Bitcoin worth
Key ranges stay effectively outlined for late October.
- Prime degree: $110,700 (0.236 Fib), $113,700 (0.382 Fib), and $116,100 (0.5 Fib) are the closest resistance zones. A breakout above these can unfold within the following instructions: $118,500 and $121,900Right here, the Fibonacci retracement of 0.618 and 0.786 coincides with the long-term shifting common.
- Cheaper price degree: Assist is close by instantly $105,900adopted by $103,000 and $102,000marks the decrease sure of the current consolidation vary. A sustained break under $102,000 may set off an extra decline to $102,000. $100,000 psychological assist.
- Higher restrict of resistance: of 200EMA close to $115,300 This stays an essential degree for attaining a bullish reversal over the medium time period.
Technical settings recommend that Bitcoin is compressing inside a downward channel, indicating elevated volatility forward of the subsequent decisive transfer.
Will Bitcoin rebound or will the correction be prolonged?
Bitcoin worth predictions for October rely upon whether or not the bulls can defend the $105,900-$103,000 demand zone lengthy sufficient to reclaim the short-term EMA. A powerful shut above $111,000-113,000 may validate a short-term restoration with the subsequent goal at $118,500.
Nevertheless, a sustained rejection on the 20-50 EMA cluster will affirm the continuation of the bearish construction. Rising open curiosity and institutional promoting, together with BlackRock’s $1 billion liquidation, suggests extra volatility forward. For now, Bitcoin is at a crucial juncture the place it holds essential assist and will set off a pullback, however failure would reveal the subsequent draw back in the direction of $100,000.
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