Bitcoin’s sluggish worth motion was a typical characteristic all through the primary two weeks of November. All eyes are on the flagship cryptocurrency, which has misplaced help at $100,000 and is hovering round one more main worth stage, particularly $95,000. Nonetheless, as Bitcoin worth struggles to regain its bullish momentum, latest on-chain information factors to occasions with bullish implications within the brief time period.
May BTC worth restoration begin in December?
In its newest Quicktake submit on the CryptoQuant platform, XWIN Analysis Japan reported that Bitcoin may positively get well to its earlier highs quickly. To lend credence to this perception, the analytics agency revealed that stablecoin trade reserves are repeatedly witnessing episodes of speedy progress.
Traditionally, intervals of stablecoin accumulation have preceded vital worth expansions. For instance, DeFi corporations highlighted occasions in July 2025. As BTC hovered round $100,000 on the time, stablecoin liquidity elevated exponentially on the similar time. A number of weeks later, Bitcoin broke by means of the resistance it was dealing with and took its worth close to $110,000.
The same pattern was noticed from mid-August to late September. Bitcoin confirmed little directional momentum after recording a rise in overseas trade reserves of over $8 billion (in 30 days). However by late September, the premium cryptocurrency had soared to an all-time excessive of $126,000.
There was additionally a big accumulation of stablecoins from the top of September to the start of October. This additionally occurred earlier than Bitcoin rose to all-time highs earlier than the crash in mid-October.

Supply: CryptoQuant
Whereas a sample is ostensibly in play, with stablecoin accumulation being a key issue, predicting worth response to this variation will not be really easy, XWIN Analysis defined. That is because of the inconsistent response of Bitcoin prior to now. “Responses might happen inside a number of days or might take a number of weeks,” the power stated.
Nonetheless, XWIN Analysis famous that macro occasions such because the upcoming December FOMC assembly may act as a set off to revitalize dormant liquidity. Stablecoin reserves will attain report ranges in 2025. This huge quantity of liquidity may gasoline the subsequent vital worth restoration.
BTC trades beneath its 365-day shifting common — extra ache on the way in which?
In a separate submit on X, Julio Moreno, head of analysis at CryptoQuant, shared the market chief’s much less optimistic predictions. Cryptocurrency specialists reiterated that Bitcoin worth is beneath its annual shifting common of $102,000.
Citing historic tendencies, Moreno reasoned that the Bitcoin market could possibly be at first of a bearish section as it will be “fairly troublesome to get well” from the failure of the 365-day shifting common.
Because it stands, BTC is probably going concentrating on help ranges at $92,000 and $72,000. Nonetheless, if a considerable amount of demand flows into the market reflecting an enchancment in market situations, the principle cryptocurrency may make a miraculous reversal from its unstable scenario.
As of this writing, Bitcoin’s worth is round $96,050, with no vital motion prior to now 24 hours.

The value of BTC on the each day timeframe | Supply: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView

