Bitcoin (BTC) hit a brand new excessive in 2025, however ended the yr with a 6% decline. It began at roughly $93,500 (USD) and ended at $87,500. Will the downward development proceed in January 2026? In accordance with historical past, this isn’t all the time the case…
January has traditionally been a unstable month for Bitcoin costs. It introduced each pleasure and discomfort. Nonetheless, excellent news prevailed by a slender margin throughout this era for the good thing about traders.
In these 13 years, Bitcoin fell on January sixth, however rose on January seventh.Together with the final three, in accordance with Coinglass information. In 2025, it elevated by 9.29% in the identical month, in 2024 by 0.62%, and in 2023 by a fair bigger share, 39.63% to be precise.
January might be key for Bitcoin’s future in 2026
If the sample seen in recent times continues, Bitcoin will flip bullish in January 2026. Nonetheless, one other angle of historic evaluation suggests the other. So it is a typical post-halving occasion, the place the quantity of BTC issued is minimize in half each 4 years.
The yr after such an occasion all the time marked the top of a bull cycle for Bitcoin, and the yr after that marked the start of a bear market. Provided that this motion was repeated in 2025 after the 2024 halving, January might be the beginning of a brand new crypto winter.
Nonetheless, regardless of earlier headwinds, US rate of interest cuts are anticipated to proceed this yr. This will increase liquidity and encourages risk-taking out there. Bitcoin may gain advantage.
The rising imaginative and prescient of Bitcoin as a mature custodial asset additionally implies that its adoption is more likely to proceed to develop in additional liquid areas. Because of this it doesn’t matter what occurs in January, some corporations predict that BTC will hit a brand new all-time excessive in 2026, as reported by CriptoNoticias.
In different phrases, the outlook for the market in January is unsure. However what is for certain is that this month’s route might be key to differentiating the market temper this new yr. 2026 might both push us right into a bearish part or shock us with an extended plateau or reinvigoration of the bullish cycle.
